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7 Close Calls in the Nuclear Age
by Floss books - October 24, 2008 - 5:27 PM

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Here’s a formula for fun: Arm two superpowers to the teeth with thousands of nuclear warheads. Make sure they are deeply hostile and suspicious of each other. Now, cut off diplomatic communication, stir in about 50 smaller countries with their own agendas on each side, and—voilà!—you’ve got yourself a cold war!

1. Suez Crisis

On November 5, 1956, during the Suez crisis, the North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD) received warnings that seemed to indicate that a large-scale Soviet attack was under way: a Soviet fleet was moving from the Black Sea to a more aggressive posture in the Aegean, 100 Soviet MiGs were detected flying over Syria, a British bomber had just been shot down in Syria, and unidentified aircraft were in flight over Turkey, causing the Turkish air force to go on high alert. All signs pointed to the ominous, except that, not long after, each of the four warnings was found to have a completely innocent explanation. The Soviet fleet was conducting routine exercises, the MiGs were part of a normal escort—whose size had been exaggerated—for the president of Syria, the British bomber had made an emergency landing after mechanical problems, and, last but not least, the unidentified planes over Turkey? Well, they turned out to be a large flock of swans.

2. SAC-NORAD Communication Failure

On November 24, 1961, all communication links between the U.S. Strategic Air Command (SAC) and NORAD suddenly went dead, cutting off the SAC from three early warning radar stations in England, Greenland, and Alaska. The communication breakdown made no sense, though. After all, a widespread, total failure of all communication circuits was considered impossible, because the network included so many redundant systems that it should have been failsafe. The only alternative explanation was that a full-scale Soviet nuclear first strike had occurred. As a result, all SAC bases were put on alert, and B-52 bomber crews warmed up their engines and moved their planes onto runways, awaiting orders to counterattack the Soviet Union with nuclear weapons. Luckily, those orders were never given. It was discovered that the circuits were not in fact redundant because they all ran through one relay station in Colorado, where a single motor had overheated and caused the entire system to fail.

3. U2 Spy Plane Accidentally Violates Soviet Airspace

U2-spy-plane.jpgU2 spy planes were high-altitude aircraft that took pictures of the Soviet Union with extremely powerful long-distance telephoto lenses. During the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962, U2 pilots were ordered not to fly within 100 miles of the Soviet Union to avoid antagonizing the Soviets. However, on October 26, 1962, a U2 pilot flying over the North Pole made a series of navigational errors because the shifting lights of the aurora borealis prevented him from taking accurate readings with his sextant. As a result, he ended up flying over the Chukotski Peninsula in northern Siberia, causing the Soviets to order a number of MiG interceptors to shoot his plane down immediately. Instead of letting him be shot down, however, the United States responded quickly by sending out F-102A fighters armed with nuclear missiles to escort the U2 back to American airspace and prevent the MiGs from following it. Unbelievably, the tactic worked. Even more amazing: the decision whether to use their nuclear missiles was left to the American pilots, and could have easily resulted in a nuclear conflict.

4. When Camping, Make Sure to Hide Your Nuclear Weapons

On October 25, 1962, again during the Cuban Missile Crisis, a security guard at an air base in Duluth, Minnesota, saw a shadowy figure scaling one of the fences enclosing the base. He shot at the intruder and activated an intruder alarm, automatically setting off intruder alarms at neighboring bases. However, at the Volk Field air base in Wisconsin, the Klaxon loudspeaker had been wired incorrectly, and instead sounded an alarm ordering F-106A interceptors armed with nuclear missiles to take off. The pilots assumed that a full-scale nuclear conflict with the Soviet Union had begun. The planes were about to take off when a car from the air traffic control tower raced down the tarmac and signaled the planes to stop. The intruder in Duluth had finally been identified: it was a bear.

5. A Terrifying Crash

On January 21, 1968, fire broke out on a B-52 carrying a nuclear payload near Greenland, forcing the crew to bail out. The unmanned plane then crashed about seven miles from the early warning radar station in Greenland. The damage done could have been remarkable. The plane exploded, as did the explosives surrounding the radioactive core of the nuclear weapons (which require conventional explosives to detonate). Given the state of nuclear weapons technology at the time, this type of unintentional detonation of conventional first-stage explosives could have theoretically triggered the second-stage fission reaction, resulting in a nuclear explosion. Luckily for the world, it didn’t. The resulting explosion would have not only severed regular communications between the early warning station and NORAD, it would have also triggered an emergency alarm based on radiation readings taken by sensors near the station. The only conclusion at NORAD headquarters, in this grisly hypothetical but very plausible scenario, would have been that the Soviets were launching a preemptive nuclear strike, and the United States would have responded in kind.

6. Comp Fear

usa.jpgOn November 9, 1979, four command centers for the U.S. nuclear arsenal received data on their radar screens indicating that the Soviet Union had launched a full-scale nuclear first strike on the United States. Over the next six minutes, planes were launched and nuclear missiles initialized for an immediate retaliatory strike. The president’s National Emergency Airborne Command Post—an armored jumbo jet (pictured) with radiation shielding and advanced communications capabilities, meant to allow the president to remain in contact with the government and armed forces during a nuclear war—was also launched, though curiously without the president aboard. However, the alarm was canceled because no sensors or satellites detected an actual Soviet missile launch. The alarm had been caused by computer software used for training exercises depicting a nightmare scenario Soviet first strike. Senator Charles Percy, who happened to be at NORAD headquarters during this event, said the reaction was one of overwhelming panic and terror. Justifiably so.

7. Comp Fear, Part 2

Electronic displays at NORAD, the SAC, and the Pentagon included prominent, highly visible numeric counters showing the number of enemy nuclear missiles detected. They normally displayed four zeros—”0000”—indicating that no nuclear missiles had been launched. However, on June 3, 1980, at 2:25 in the morning, the counters started randomly substituting the number “2” for “0.” As a result, crews manning bombers carrying nuclear weapons were ordered to begin to warm up their engines, Minuteman missiles were initialized for launch, and airborne command posts were also launched. It was determined that this first event was a false alarm, but three days later it happened a second time—causing the entire emergency response procedure to start rolling once again. The problem was eventually traced back to a single faulty computer chip combined with faulty wiring.

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This article was excerpted from Forbidden Knowledge: A Wickedly Smart Guide to History’s Naughtiest Bits. You can pick up a copy in the mental_floss store.

See also…

Why is the Drinking Age 21?
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10 Things You Didn’t Know About Colin Powell
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How to Stop Unwanted Phone Books
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Basketball’s Best-Kept Secret: Revealed!
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A Saturday Night Live Political Quiz

Comments (13)
  1. Don’t forget that time in 1983 when a high school student from Seattle tried to hack into a computer game company and inadvertently got in through the backdoor of the new NORAD weapons launch system. Luckily, he (and his girlfriend) were able to convince the nihilist creator of the system to fly them to Colorado in his helicopter and challenge the computer to a nice game of chess, thus averting full-scale nuclear war.

  2. @kristen
    yeah i was really surprised that oen wasnt on the list, it was such an important event and well publicized to.

  3. If you want to talk about close calls in 1983, how about Stanislav Petrov’s wise decision on September 26, 1983? He deviated from standard Soviet doctrine by positively identifying a missile attack warning as a false alarm.

    If he hadn’t done this, the Soviets would’ve launched real missles in retaliation, requiring the United States to do likewise, and we probably wouldn’t be talking about this right now.

  4. it’s so scary to think that we’ve been so close to a nuclear war for such dumb reasons… especially that it’s happened several times!

  5. Martin Hellman (who, along with Whitfield Diffie, invented public-key cryptography) has a website that describes his risk analysis, based on close calls like those – how often they happen, and how close they have come.

    “As explained in the paper, there is preliminary evidence that deterrence can be expected to work for about 100 years, which is far too high a risk. Aside from concern for future generations, that time horizon implies roughly a 1% chance of failure in any given year and a 10% chance of failure in any decade.”

    The site is nuclearrisk dot org. (Can’t post a direct link due to comment filtering.)

  6. Nuclear weapons aren’t going to go anywhere. They can’t be un-invented, barring some other kind of crisis that will set us back to the stone age.

    History being history, the most frighteningly powerful weapons ever invented are sooner or later going to be used in combat. Perhaps the current world political order makes it unlikely, but that’s a temporary thing.

  7. Now, granted, no close calls have happened for a number of years, and nearly all of these occurred either during or preceding what has come to be known as the Cuban Missle CRISIS. Either we’ve come a ways in sustaining our livlihood and loving each other (note the allusion to Dr. Strangelove’s alternate title), or else we’ve become more efficient in hiding what really happens inside NORAD, SAC, The Situation Room (not Wolf Blitzer’s). It’s difficult at first for me to believe we’re smarter now than forty years ago in doing anything; but I suppose I can believe that when what’s up for grabs is political hegemony.

    Peace,
    jj

  8. Don’t you mean ‘nucular’?

  9. I actually had a situation happen vaguely similar to “War Games” when I was in the Air Force. I was doing a test of software I had added to our system to streamline sending a message that our satellites had detected a “nuclear event.” An officer at the message switch SAC was supposed to make sure the test message only went to NORAD – he messed up and it went to the whole network. That was bad enough, but then it was followed by several messages indicating missile launches. I was scared out of my mind until we determined that the message I sent DID say simulated, and the (Russian) missile launches were already scheduled. Thinking you’re close to death: scary. Thinking you just started a nuclear war: be glad you will never know.

  10. And these are only the cases that we know about. How many episodes like this did the Soviet Union have that we don’t know anything about. I remember watching “The Day After Tomorrow” as a little kid and being scared S***less for weeks afterward…walking to school looking up at the sky constantly.

    Unfortunately there are much scarier things and people out there now.

  11. There was another episode in the 90’s where the U.S. had launched some weather rockets near the arctic. We notified the Russians, but the message never went up the chain of command. Yeltsin was actually ready to give the command, but a late night phone call to Bush Sr. confirmed it was just a science expirement in the arctic.

  12. Don’t forget the Able-Archer exercise in 1983. It was a full scale war game that for various reasons the Soviets concluded was almost certainly preparations for a nuclear strike. The Soviets concluded that they probably had little choice but to strike first. Luckily for us all, they kept their powder dry and the exercise concluded without incident. Many think that, rather than any of the weird sensor goofs, this was the closest we got to nuclear war since the Cuban Missile Crisis. BTW, in ‘63, there were some warheads in place, and the Soviet field commanders had authority to launch on their own judgment if we attacked. When McNamara was told this by his Soviet counterpart a few years ago, they said his face turned white as a ghost…

  13. Don’t forget when there was that faulty transistor box and a group of bombers mistakenly attacked Moscow. We helped the Soviets get all but one of them and they dropped 2 20 kiloton nukes on Moscow. Luckily the Chairman accepted the President’s idea to nuke New York in exchange. That was a tough day.

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